Aboud on AL Observers

Ever since the observers arrived, defections have been increasing a great deal. Soldiers are more willing to defect when they know that the army can’t chase them into Baba Amr and other areas.

For that reason alone, I say let’s keep the observer team in Syria for as long as possible. If I may make a bold prediction, but it looks like the regime fell into a trap, and it’s been outflanked. Baba Amr has never been quieter. To someone in Homs, it makes a big difference if a tank has been moved a kilometer away, even though in strict military terms it might appear insignificant.

As long as the observers are in Syria, the regime has no hope whatsoever of subduing the main hotspots. A de facto safe haven is therefore in the making, where defectors can seek shelter, safe from the regime’s retribution. Apparently, someone at the AL has thought things through more thoroughly than junior’s conspiracy obsessed advisors have.

Al Arabi wants desperately to show that the observer team is producing results. On the surface, his talk of the army completely withdrawing from cities might have seemed strange. But when you think about it, that’s all the encouragement a defector-to-be-needs; when he knows that there are areas where his pursuers cannot go to chase him.

Now all they need to do is be able to make their way to those areas.

And once the regime is forced to allow independent media into the country, they can do a far better job than thousands of observers can. To the menhebaks, the presence of an independent media is worse than a full NATO division on the border.


Posted on January 4, 2012, in Syria. Bookmark the permalink. 151 Comments.

  1. Dear Shiela:

    As an American who still is in touched with her folks back in Aleppo, you of all people should not peddle the fear KSA brand of Islam. Your statement “I will not set foot in Syria” if the MB were to rule as in KSA is sending the wrong message and creating unnecessary fear.

    Whipping people to pray, etc… is only done in one country and in essence to my understanding is contrary to what Allah (SWT) says. Syria enjoys a diverse array of religions, with each one ranging from liberals to conservatives.

    What I am saying is please don’t sensationalise and bridge KSA’s way of life to Syria.

    And if you are wondering why the Sunnis in KSA are helping the MB, it is because they fear Iran and looking to protect their own grip on the throne. If KSA cared so much about the Sunni bretheren, there are millions in desperate need other than Syria or MB.

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